Tuesday, October 16, 2007

The MJO is in Phase 8.

The next passage of the MJO (to the North of Australia) is expected late October/ early November, and could be reasonably expected to initiate (pre-monsoon) early summer rains in the north.

In Australia, there is less direct impact from MJO passages during our winter/early spring. For example, during Phases 5 and 6 the southern grain belt (south eastern Australia) could expect enhanced chances of rain, and the western grain growing region winter rainfall is enhanced during MJO Phases 7 and 8. More 'weak' MJO Index signals, when Phase cannot be determined, are recorded during Austral winter.

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